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Bay Area Real Estate Sales.com Newsletter

January 2009


IN THIS ISSUE:

Marin Home Sales Statistics

Bargain Hunting Dominates Bay Area Home Sales In December

Home Prices - $ Per Square Foot Decreases In Many Cities In Marin

Jobless Rate In Marin – Lowest In State

What Did Your Neighbors’ House Sell For?

Search The Marin Multiple Listing Service

The Bay Area Real Estate Newsletter Is Provided To You By:


MARIN HOME SALES STATISTICS –

By Liz McCarthy


I hope you and your family a wonderful holiday season!


If you would like to see all of the recent home sales (by address) in Marin my Real Estate company (Vision Real Estate) publishes these here: http://westbayre.com/frame_main.htm


I will attempt to review the Marin Real Estate Market year 2008. As everyone knows, the market in general is a Buyers Market, but as always, due to many factors, Marin is doing better than many other parts of the state and country.


Sales of single-family, re-sale homes fell for the fourth year in a row in 2008. County home sales started the year strong, but faded down the stretch with home sales falling, year-over-year four out of the last five months.


Single Family Homes: In comparing the Single Family Home Prices for all of 2008, compared to 2007, The Median home price was $940,000 (which is 9.2% down from the 2007 median price of $1,035,000) and the average home price is: $1,272,111 (down 7.3% from 2007, $1,372,240). Only the second time since we've been keeping track, 1995, that the median price has been down for the year. The last time was in 2006 and that was a meager 0.4% decline. The time it took to sell a home was at record highs in 2008. It took, on average, 91 days from when a home was listed to when it went into contract.


Condos: The sale of condos was up 0.4%. The median condo price was $405,000 at year end 2008 (compared to $570,000, down 29%) and the average condo price was $476,148 (compared to $643,148, down 26% from 2007) Days on market for condos was also at a record high last year: 106 days.

Note: The median marks the point at which half the homes sold for more, half for less. It reflects the composition of homes sold rather than an across-the-board change in all home values.

The mix of sold properties skewed toward lower-cost homes. Mortgages of more than $417,000 used to account for 60 percent of Bay Area purchase financing, DataQuick said. In December, just one-fifth of homes sold in the area had loans greater than $417,000.


Foreclosure sales Figures: In Marin, foreclosure resales were 21.5 percent of total sales, down slightly from 22.4 percent in November but more than triple the 6.4 percent of total sales the year before.


You can see all the historical home prices since 1995 in the chart below.



Marin County

(Single Family Homes)

 

Prices

Other

Percent Change

Average

Median

Sold

DOM

SP/LP

Average

Median

Sold

1995

$424,464

$352,000

1,938

 

 

 

 

 

1996

$451,210

$372,495

2,366

 

 

6.3%

5.8%

22.1%

1997

$482,795

$395,000

2,883

 

 

7.0%

6.0%

21.9%

1998

$543,443

$430,000

2,869

41

97.9%

12.6%

8.9%

-0.5%

1999

$667,643

$510,000

3,041

37

98.9%

22.9%

18.6%

6.0%

2000

$816,364

$615,000

2,701

32

101.8%

22.3%

20.6%

-11.2%

2001

$853,558

$650,000

2,106

56

97.3%

4.6%

5.7%

-22.0%

2002

$889,011

$705,000

2,620

60

97.7%

4.2%

8.5%

24.4%

2003

$926,946

$732,000

2,731

64

97.6%

4.3%

3.8%

4.2%

2004

$1,062,756

$849,000

2,837

55

99.5%

14.7%

16.0%

3.9%

2005

$1,228,610

$959,000

2,590

56

99.6%

15.6%

13.0%

-8.7%

2006

$1,231,156

$955,000

2,159

73

98.1%

0.2%

-0.4%

-16.6%

2007

$1,372,240

$1,035,000

1,975

81

97.8%

11.5%

8.4%

-8.5%

2008

$1,272,111

$940,000

1,550

91

95.9%

-7.3%

-9.2%

-21.5%


Marin Single Family Home Prices 2008


 

Marin County

(Condos & Town Homes)

 

Prices

Other

Percent Change

Average

Median

Sold

DOM

SP/LP

Average

Median

Sold

1998

$246,120

$219,000

604

39

99.1%

 

 

 

1999

$274,809

$247,000

617

25

100.8%

11.7%

12.8%

2.2%

2000

$338,191

$295,000

567

24

102.4%

23.1%

19.4%

-8.1%

2001

$395,749

$360,000

579

47

99.3%

17.0%

22.0%

2.1%

2002

$439,357

$399,000

814

54

99.6%

11.0%

10.8%

40.6%

2003

$475,783

$429,000

876

52

99.0%

8.3%

7.5%

7.6%

2004

$521,822

$490,000

939

45

101.9%

9.7%

14.2%

7.2%

2005

$584,911

$540,000

819

43

102.0%

12.1%

10.2%

-12.8%

2006

$601,762

$548,250

626

79

99.0%

2.9%

1.5%

-23.6%

2007

$643,148

$570,000

497

83

98.3%

6.9%

4.0%

-20.6%

2008

$476,148

$405,000

499

106

97.1%

-26.0%

-28.9%

0.4%

Marin Condo Prices 2008


The chart below shows that as in the last few months, the low end of the market (under $500,000) is moving and is in fact considered to be a “sellers” market at the moment. For example of the 139 properties that are currently on the market priced from $1M - $1.5M, only 10% of those are in contract currently, which equates to an “Extreme Buyers” market. Although the overall market shows it’s a “buyers” market, that fact is misleading, as the largest number of properties that are in contract are all in the very low end (under $500,000).


MARIN HOME (CONDO + SFR) SALES STATISTICS - BY CITY AS OF 1/22/2009


City


Total


Active

Number in Contract***

Percent in Contract*

Type of Market*

(See Key)

Belvedere

22

19

3

14%

Strong Buyers

Corte Madera

27

24

3

11%

Strong Buyers

Fairfax

31

26

5

16%

Strong Buyers

Greenbrae

16

13

3

19%

Strong Buyers

Kentfield

22

19

3

14%

Strong Buyers

Larkspur

27

24

3

11%

Strong Buyers

Mill Valley

100

84

16

16%

Strong Buyers

Novato

281

196

85

30%

Buyers

Ross

13

13

0

0%

Extreme Buyers

San Anselmo

55

46

9

16%

Strong Buyers

San Rafael

265

190

75

28%

Buyers

Sausalito

36

33

3

8%

Extreme Buyers

Tiburon

76

69

7

9%

Extreme Buyers

Others

66

63

3

5%

Extreme Buyers

Total Marin 1/22/08

1037

819

218

21.02%

Buyers

Total Marin11/24/08

1244

965

279

22.43%

Buyers

Total Marin10/29/08

1377

1096

281

20.41%

Strong Buyers

Total Marin 6/16/08

1586

1220

366

23.08%

Buyers

Total Marin 5/21//08

1582

1226

356

22.50%

Buyers

Total Marin 4/15/08

1375

1085

290

21.09%

Buyers

Total Marin 3/16/08

1157

913

244

21.09%

Buyers

Total Marin 2/18/08

949

742

207

21.81%

Buyers

Total Marin 1/17/08

802

674

128

15.96%

Strong Buyers

Total Marin 12/18/07

932

757

175

18.78%

Strong Buyers

Total Marin 11/17/07

1,146

904

242

21.12%

Buyers


MARIN HOME SALES STATISTICS - BY PRICE RANGE AS OF 1/22/09


Price


Total


Active

Number in Contract***

Percent in Contract*

Type of Market*

(See Key)

$100,000-$499,999

270

152

118

44%

Sellers

$500,000-$749,999

236

190

46

19%

Strong Buyers

$750,000-$999,999

174

148

26

15%

Strong Buyers

$1,000,000-$1,499,999

139

125

14

10%

Extreme Buyers

$1,500,000-$1,999,999

76

68

8

11%

Strong Buyers

$2,000,000-$2,499,999

45

44

1

2%

Extreme Buyers

$2,500,000-$2,999,999

31

30

1

3%

Extreme Buyers

$3,000,000-$3,999,999

26

23

3

12%

Strong Buyers

Over $4,000,000

38

38

0

0%

Extreme Buyers

Total Marin 6/16/08

1035

818

217

21%

Buyers


*Key to market type:

0% - 10% of Homes in Escrow: Extreme Buyers

36% - 45% of Homes in Escrow: Sellers

11% - 20% of Homes in Escrow: Strong Buyers

46% - 55% of Homes in Escrow: Strong Sellers

21% - 30% of Homes in Escrow: Buyers

56% - 100% of Homes in Escrow: Extreme Sellers

31% - 35% of Homes in Escrow: Balanced Market


**Based on information from Bay Area Real Estate Information Services, Inc. (BAREIS). Information has not been verified, is not guaranteed, and is subject to change and is based on one period of time.”

***Includes all: Sale Pending & Contingent properties


The real estate market is very hard to generalize. It is a market made up of many micro markets. For complete information on a particular neighborhood or for an evaluation of your home's worth, call me. If I can help you devise a strategy, call or click the buying or selling link in the menu to the top.


If you know of anyone who would like to receive this monthly newsletter or is thinking of either buying or selling a home please let me know. I’d love your referrals!


FREE…..You can search for Marin listings directly on BayAreaRealEstateSales.com: Search for Homes


Back to top


BARGAIN HUNTING DOMINATES BAY AREA HOME SALES IN DECEMBER


January 21, 2009 - La Jolla, CA.----Bargain hunting dominated the Bay Area housing market last month as the purchase of foreclosure properties accounted for more than half of all resales for the first time. Sales patterns also reflected continued problems for buyers looking to finance purchases in the upper half of the market's price range, a real estate information service reported.


A total of 6,889 new and resale houses and condos were sold in the nine- county region last month. That was up 19.7 percent from 5,756 in November, and up 36.0 percent from 5,065 for December 2007, according to MDA DataQuick.

While sales were well below the 8,807 average for all Decembers going back to 1988, they were no longer at the record low levels of late 2007 and the first half of 2008.


The median price paid for a Bay Area home was $330,000 in December. That was down 5.7 percent from $350,000 for the month before, and down 43.8 percent from $587,500 for December 2007. That was the lowest it has been since March 2000 when the median was $320,500, and 50.4% below the $665,000 peak of June/July 2007.


"It would be wrong to say that Bay Area home values are half of what they were a year-and-a-half ago. We're figuring that maybe half of the decline in median is a market mix issue, and the rest a drop in value. But we're in the middle of this, and we won't be able to quantify it until it's behind us. What is remarkable, is that so much Bay Area activity is still on hold, waiting the turbulence out. We don't know how long that can last," said John Walsh, MDA DataQuick president.


Home loans for more than $417,000, the old "jumbo" limit, used to account for more than 60 percent of the Bay Area's purchase financing. Last month it was 21.8 percent.


The most active lenders to Bay Area home buyers were Countrywide, Bank of America and Wells Fargo. MDA DataQuick will report more extensively on the home financing market next month.


Homes that were foreclosed on accounted for 50.0 percent of December's resale activity, up from 46.8 percent in November, and up from 14.0 percent for December a year ago. Foreclosure resales ranged from 12.4 percent in San Francisco last month to 67.7 percent in Solano County.


MDA DataQuick is a division of MDA Lending Solutions, a subsidiary of Vancouver-based MacDonald Dettwiler and Associates. MDA DataQuick monitors real estate activity nationwide and provides information to consumers, educational institutions, public agencies, lending institutions, title companies and industry analysts.


The typical monthly mortgage payment that Bay Area buyers committed themselves to paying was $1,471 last month, down from a revised $1,695 for the previous month, and down from a revised $2,848 for December year ago. Adjusted for inflation, current payments were 43.9 percent below typical payments in the spring of 1989, the peak of the prior real estate cycle. They were 58.5 percent below the current cycle's peak in July 2007.


Indicators of market distress continue to move in different directions. Foreclosure activity waned in early fall but is edging higher again and remains near record levels, while financing with adjustable-rate mortgages is at an all-time low, as is financing with multiple mortgages. Down payment sizes and flipping rates are stable, non-owner occupied buying activity appears flat, MDA DataQuick reported.



Sales Volume

Median Price

All homes      

  Dec-07  

Dec-08  

  %Chng   

    Dec-07  

   Dec-08 

   %Chng

Alameda        

     983  

  1,492  

  51.8%   

  $540,000  

$338,000 

  -37.4%

Contra Costa   

     971  

  1,788  

  84.1%   

  $505,000  

$252,500 

  -50.0%

Marin          

     193  

    165  

-14.5%   

  $760,500  

$562,500 

  -26.0%

Napa           

      72  

    111  

  54.2%   

  $590,000  

$402,500 

  -31.8%

Santa Clara    

   1,265  

  1,265  

   0.0%   

  $655,000  

$436,000 

  -33.4%

San Francisco  

     445  

    366  

-17.8%   

  $731,000  

$616,500 

  -15.7%

San Mateo      

     468  

    435  

  -7.1%   

  $733,500  

$537,000 

  -26.8%

Solano         

     360  

    733  

103.6%   

  $370,000  

$213,500 

  -42.3%

Sonoma         

     308  

    534  

  73.4%   

  $410,000  

$300,000 

  -26.8%

Bay Area       

   5,065  

  6,889  

  36.0%   

  $587,500  

$330,000 

  -43.8%

Source: DataQuick Information Systems, www.DQNews.com

FREE…..You can search for Marin listings directly on BayAreaRealEstateSales.com: Search for Homes


HOME PRICES - $ PER SQUARE FOOT DECREASES IN MANY CITIES IN MARIN


It’s important to keep in mind that the data below is a snapshot – it tells the story of all homes sold within a specific time period in Marin (3 months 7/15 – 10/15). It’s not reflective of an entire year. Additional things to keep in mind: if only 1 or 2 Marin homes sold within that time period, the data is only reflective of those few home sales, and lastly, as most Marin Real Estate watchers know, Dollar per square foot figures in Marin are very hard to compare property to property, as there are many variables (flat lot, view, condition of home, etc)


The following data is from SFGate.com

http://www.sfgate.com/webdb/sqfthomeprices/



City

July 15 – Oct 15

Median $/SF

2007

July 15 – Oct 15

Median $/SF

2008

Year over

year change

More details

Inverness

$627

$440

-29.8%

Details

Novato/94945

$407

319

-21.6%

Details

Greenbrae

736

591

-19.6%

Details

Novato/94947

437

352

-19.5%

Details

Belvedere Tiburon

853

722

-15.4%

Details

Novato/94949

426

363

-14.9%

Details

San Rafael/ 94903

476

419

-12.0%

Details

Fairfax

566

524

-7.4%

Details

Corte Madera

609

592

-2.9%

Details

Mill Valley

689

692

0.5%

Details

San Rafael/ 94901

499

502

0.6%

Details

Sausalito

716

757

5.7%

Details

Stinson Beach

998

1060

6.2%

Details

Ross

715

830

16.1%

Details

Larkspur

604

707

17.1%

Details

San Anselmo

524

628

19.7%

Details



JOBLESS RATE IN MARIN – LOWEST IN STATE


12/19/08 - Marin County's unemployment rate inched up a tenth of a percentage point to 5 percent in November and remained the lowest of any county in California, while the state jobless rate climbed to 8.4 percent - the third-highest in the nation, officials reported Friday. (MarinIJ.com)


Back to top


WHAT DID YOUR NEIGHBORS’ HOUSE SELL FOR?


Are you Curious to know what the Median home price is in your neighborhood?


The Neighborhood Homes Sold listing is a weekly reader feature of the Sunday San Francisco Chronicle. The data posted here is typically recorded a few months after the property officially sold. This is the public data available in the published tax records. The home addresses, sales price, number of bedrooms, square footage and the year the homes were built are based on information supplied from Bay Area counties' property transaction records which, in some cases, may not be complete.
Previous editions of Neighborhood Homes Sold


Click on the following links to see what price homes sold for in your neighborhood:


Jan 18 Marin Home Sales

Jan 11 Marin Home Sales

Jan 4 Marin Home Sales

Dec 28 Marin Home Sales

Dec 21 Marin Home Sales

Dec 14 Marin Home Sales

Dec 7 Marin Home Sales


I can also send you a link to view ALL of the current and past home sales in Marin. I am not allowed to publish this data publicly, so you’ll have to email me and I’ll send you the link. Just click here to send me an email automatically: email


SEARCH THE MARIN MULTIPLE LISTING SERVICE


The following links will take you to home searches for different cities in Marin.
All search results are displayed from the highest price to the lowest price. You can scroll through pages at a time.

Belvedere homes for sale: Belvedere Homes For Sale
Corte Madera homes for sale:
Corte Madera Homes For Sale
Fairfax homes for Sale:
Fairfax Homes For Sale
Greenbrae homes for sale:
Greenbrae Homes For Sale
Kentfield homes for sale:
Kentfield Homes For Sale
Larkspur homes for sale:
Larkspur Homes For Sale
Mill Valley homes for sale:
Mill Valley Homes For Sale
Novato homes for Sale:
Novato Homes For Sale

Novato CONDOS for Sale:  Novato Condos For Sale
Ross homes for sale:
Ross Homes For Sale
San Anselmo homes for sale:
San Anselmo Homes For Sale
San Rafael HOMES for sale:
San Rafael Homes For Sale
San Rafael CONDOS for sale:
San Rafael Condos For Sale
Sausalito homes for sale:
Sausalito Homes For Sale
Tiburon homes for sale:
Tiburon Homes For Sale

If any of the above links do not work, you can also set up your own searches here:

 

Search for Marin Homes

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LIZ MCCARTHY HAS BEEN CREDENTIALED AS A NUMBER1EXPERT!


Why Do Some Real Estate Agents Outsell Others 5 to 1?

Verified Number1Expert Realtors:

  • They negotiate the best deals, list the best homes, have the biggest network of active buyers, and market properties more effectively. That's why people come back to them again and again. That's why they sell more homes! They are proven winners - and people know it.

  • Only real estate agents who meet or exceed $5 million in sales can receive NUMBER1EXPERT™ credentials and premium Internet marketing across an expanding network of websites. Currently 2,500 agents and 90,000 listings receive premium advertising and distribution, generating over 25,000 exclusive leads weekly.

What does this mean to you?

  • Top selling real estate agents...

    • Negotiate the best deals for their clients

    • List the best homes for sale

    • Sell homes quicker

    • Sell homes for a higher percentage of the asking price

    • Have the biggest network of buyers looking for homes

    • Market properties more effectively, both on the web and off

 

...that's why buyers and sellers insist on them. Shouldn't you?

Liz has just launched her Number1Expert Marin Real Estate website: www.MarinHomeStore.com


THE BAY AREA REAL ESTATE NEWSLETTER IS PROVIDED TO YOU BY:


If you would like to have Liz help you sell your Marin home or help you find a home, or you know of someone that could benefit from her services, just send her an email: liz@BayAreaRealEstateSales.com or give her a call: 415-250-4929


High-Touch through High-Tech”: Did you know that Liz McCarthy is ePro Internet Certified by the National Association of Realtors and that 70 percent of home buyers today use the internet in their home search? Why are you still working with a Realtor who isn’t a technology expert?


What this means to you:


Home Buyers: Liz is an expert in helping save you time by using the internet, email and other technology resources to help save your valuable time and money. She knows how busy you are!

Home Sellers: Liz will hire a professional photographer and market your home extensively on the internet: a personal property website (see www.417Greenfield.com or www.50milland.com for samples), she will post your home on over 50 websites.


FREE…..You can search for Marin listings directly on BayAreaRealEstateSales.com: Search for Homes


Be sure to check out all the other great content & features of my website:

www.BayAreaRealEstateSales.com



Liz Stolz McCarthy

Liz McCarthy

High-Touch through “High-Tech”

Real Estate Broker, e-PRO certified

Vision Real Estate

Liz@BayAreaRealEstateSales.com

415-250-4929


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